Monero Bull Run Accelerating, XMR-BTC Price Chart Signals
Monero (XMR) has significantly outperformed Bitcoin (BTC) in 2025, a trend technical analysis suggests will likely persist. This analysis focuses on the XMR-BTC ratio, specifically its performance on the Poloniex exchange. The ratio recently reached its highest point since January 2024, a key indicator confirming a bullish “double-bottom” breakout on the weekly chart.
The double-bottom pattern is characterized by two consecutive troughs at approximately the same price level, signifying a potential exhaustion of the preceding downtrend. A horizontal line, termed the “neckline resistance,” connects the temporary price recovery between these two lows. A decisive break above this neckline signals a confirmed breakout and a shift from bearish to bullish market sentiment.
The XMR-BTC ratio exhibited two such troughs around 0.00165 earlier this year. Its recent breach above the neckline resistance validates the double-bottom bullish reversal pattern. This suggests XMR has entered a new period of relative strength against Bitcoin.
Further supporting this bullish outlook is the ratio’s movement above the Ichimoku cloud, a technical indicator that often signals shifts in momentum. The Ichimoku cloud’s composition of the tenkan-sen (conversion line), kijun-sen (base line), senkou span A (leading span A), and senkou span B (leading span B) provide a comprehensive view of the trend. The successful crossing above the cloud strongly suggests that the upward momentum is likely to persist in the short-term.
However, this bullish projection is contingent upon the price remaining above the double-bottom support level (formerly resistance). A renewed dip below this support would invalidate the bullish signal.
To summarize, the technical indicators, particularly the double-bottom breakout and the position relative to the Ichimoku cloud, strongly suggest a continuing bullish trend for XMR against BTC. The significant performance difference—XMR up 86% versus BTC’s 12% year-to-date—reinforces this analysis. Nevertheless, maintaining vigilance and monitoring the support level is crucial for managing risk.
